
Will either Brazil or Argentina win the men's Football World Cup in 2022?
58
1.1kṀ78kresolved Dec 20
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to yes, in case either Argentina or Brazil wins the final of the men's Football World Cup in 2022.
Current date of final is 18th December 2022.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Yev in general yes, but with a fixed set of answers (in this case the 32 teams participating) they should converge quickly. Another two related binary markets, that together should add up to almost 1 minus the probability in this market (just have subtract the chances that Uruguay/Ecuador wins). They also imply that this market should be below 30%