Will either Brazil or Argentina win the men's Football World Cup in 2022?
58
19
Ṁ78KṀ1.1K
resolved Dec 20
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to yes, in case either Argentina or Brazil wins the final of the men's Football World Cup in 2022.
Current date of final is 18th December 2022.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ871 | |
2 | Ṁ378 | |
3 | Ṁ318 | |
4 | Ṁ307 | |
5 | Ṁ270 |
Sort by:
@Yev in general yes, but with a fixed set of answers (in this case the 32 teams participating) they should converge quickly. Another two related binary markets, that together should add up to almost 1 minus the probability in this market (just have subtract the chances that Uruguay/Ecuador wins). They also imply that this market should be below 30%
Related questions
Will Argentina win the 2024 Olympic men's soccer gold medal?
32% chance
Will a South American country be the next world cup champion in 2026?
33% chance
Will a South American country be the next world cup champion in 2026?
30% chance
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9% chance