Resolves NO if Nathan Young @NathanpmYoung loses his badge by then (even if it is later reinstated), YES if his badge hasn't been removed before the end of the year.

Note on the motivation for these markets: when trustworthy-ish users regularly make markets with unclear resolution criteria, don't answer questions in comments, and are late to resolve their markets, I believe it's important to hold them accountable by drawing attention to the higher standards they're supposed to be subject to. I believe that such accountability is essential to any well-functioning community, especially when some have more privileges than others. There's nothing personal about any of these markets.

Argue all you want in the comments.