Will I retire from Manifold before 2024?
Will I retire from Manifold before 2024?
31
570Ṁ6308
resolved Dec 22
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if by 2024 I have sold all my positions and resolved all my closed markets, regardless of my balance on January 1st, 2024.

If and when I retire, I will donate my balance to the charity program and continue monitoring my open markets. This will not retroactively affect the resolution of this market.

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1y

Sorry you didn't make it. Don't give up.

1y

@AlexbGoode Haha. Next year at the latest.

1y

@NicoDelon Spoken like a true addict.

predictedNO 1y

Everyone deserves an update. To be frank, and for better or worse, I'm afraid I won't even be able to retire by the end of the year. I've kept accumulating positions and liquidating everything in the next two weeks would be time-consuming. Who knows what might happen after the new year though!

1y
predictedNO 1y
1y

LOVE THIS

1y

I’ve recently lost interest in Manifold, especially in investing in it longterm. I no longer enjoy it as much as I used to; it’s eating up way too much of my time; I’ve found recent user trends especially annoying; and I don’t think I’ve earned the favors of Manifold staff for raising my voice about certain things. All in all, I’m spending a lot of time I could be spending in much more fruitful ways. My plan is to liquidate most of my positions over the next few months. I doubt I’ll liquidate all of them before the end of the year, and I have large positions in markets I’d like to see resolved before I quit. When I’ve collected profits from those markets, I’ll give away most of my balance to charities and then phase out my involvement until all my own markets are resolved. It’s been fun but overall I don’t think the opportunity costs are justified.

1y

But your calibration is still so beautiful... 🥲

1y

@Joshua I’m gonna frame it and hang it in my office.

1y

@NicoDelon Same thing happened for me. I liquidated most of my positions and donated my balance in July. I also mostly stopped creating markets. However, somehow I am still here. Good luck quitting. Let me know how you did it :)

1y
1y

I hope not!

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