Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be freed into the US at any point in 2025?

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Dec 31

35%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if, for at least one day between now and December 31, 2025, Abrego Garcia is alive, not incarcerated, and legally present in the US (not in an airport transit area or something like that, but actually free to move about the country). Otherwise resolves NO.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

I would add the “free” stipulation to the title. I think it meaningfully changes the market.

@Sketchy yeah fair, changed

bought Ṁ15 YES

You say "free to move about". If he is returned to America but kept in jail, but given due process, and then deported again, are you resolving YES or NO?