Government shutdown ends before November 7, 2025
3
100Ṁ30
Nov 6
46%
chance
5

The current government shutdown began on October 1, 2025, and is now in its third week. The shutdown entered its 12th day on Sunday as Republicans and Democrats remain at an impasse over a spending plan, and the Senate is expected to vote for a ninth time Wednesday afternoon on a House-passed bill that would reopen the government as Democrats and Republicans remain at odds on Day 15 of the shutdown. The longest shutdown, during Trump's first term over his demands for funds to build the U.S.-Mexico border wall, ended in 2019 after 35 days. House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., said the nation could be "barreling toward one of the longest shutdowns in American history."

The shutdown centers on disagreements over health care subsidies and federal spending. Senate Democrats are refusing to vote for a short-term bill to fund the government until Republicans extend Affordable Care Act subsidies that are due to expire at the end of the year and agree to roll back President Donald Trump's Medicaid cuts.

Resolution Criteria: This market resolves YES if the government shutdown ends (meaning Congress passes and the President signs appropriations bills or a continuing resolution to fund the government) before November 7, 2025. To end a government shutdown, Congress needs to pass and the President must sign appropriations bills to fund the departments and agencies that have been shut down. Resolution will be based on official announcements from the White House or Congressional leadership confirming the government has reopened.

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