Will Trump's VP pick improve his polling, according to RCP's 2 way average?
🇺🇸 US Politics🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential ElectionTrump
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resolved Aug 17
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N/A

Based on RCP’s two way poll aggregation: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden

If he’s doing better against Biden 2 weeks after the announcement than he was at the time of the announcement, resolves YES.

If he’s doing the same or worse, resolves NO.

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Apologies for getting to this late; this was one of the markets I bought from @Sketchy. RCP stopped tracking Trump v Biden polls after Biden dropped out, so I think the only sensible way for this market to resolve is N/A.

(Maybe "stopped tracking" is the wrong way of putting it; those polls just kinda stopped being made)

Shouldn't this resolve already?

bought Ṁ75 NO

@NcyRocks what should happen to this market? Biden isn't the nominee

Yeah like is this N/A or is it Trump vs. Kamala as of July 29th or is it Trump vs. Biden still? I'd have a problem with the lattermost.

I'd be in favor of N/A because you can't really treat the biden approval and the harris approval as the same.

+2.7 at the time of the J.D. Vance announcement.

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