Will New Zealand First be elected to the next New Zealand Parliament?
23
399
480
resolved Oct 17
Resolved
YES


Close date updated to 2023-10-14 7:00 pm

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predicted NO

By my calculations, the expected amount of special votes aren't enough to put NZF below 5% even if no one voted for them, so this is close enough to resolve.

bought Ṁ5 of YES

The NZ First killer, oft talked about never really seeming likely Greens - National coalition anymore likely this time?

predicted YES

Wow - definitely an interview to get you talking this morning on Q+A. Dunno if Chris Luxon was watching but no doubt sweating a bit over what happens.

If NZ first hold the power and an agreement couldn't be made with National and Act what happens at that point? Assume another election is possible or government with reduced powers (i.e. less streamlined passage of policy?)?

predicted NO

"Will New Zealand First be elected to the next New Zealand Parliament?"

Will New Zealand First be elected to the next New Zealand Parliament?
predicted NO

Love how Stable Diffusion's idea of "New Zealand Parliament" is the US Capitol building with mountains in the background