Will DemocracyNZ enter Parliament in 2023?

130Ṁ245

resolved Oct 17

Resolved

ALL

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DemocracyNZ

They'll probably have to rely on Matt King winning Northland.

NZ Politics

2023 New Zealand General Election

New Zealand

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ33
2		Ṁ6
3		Ṁ1
4		Ṁ1
5		Ṁ0

People are also trading

Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?

24% chance

Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?

3% chance

Will an age limit be placed on NZ Parliament before 2030?

5% chance

Will New Zealand have a general election before the end of 2025

22% chance

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Will a term limit be placed on NZ Parliament before 2030?

4% chance

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?

17% chance

Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

39% chance

The Opportunities Party (TOP) will be represented in what upcoming New Zealand parliamentary sessions?

Will the next NZ government scrap 3 or more of the Act party's "demographic ministries"?

Sort by:

predictedNO

The final results aren't in yet, but I've seen enough to resolve this question. It can always be re-resolved if this changes.

predictedNO

this can be resolved

predictedNO

@JackPitman Sort of. I’ll resolve as many of the election questions as I can tonight, with the understanding that they’re based on the provisional results and can be re-resolved later.

predictedNO

@NcyRocks OK, I realise some things are close, like Nelson electorate. However what possible path does democracy nz have to get into parliament

predictedNO

@JackPitman None at all, so I’ll resolve it tonight.

predictedNO

@JackPitman I mean, there’s a ~0% (but >0%) chance that they got enough special votes to get in, so it’s not literally impossible, but it’s close enough to resolve now that re-resolutions are possible.