Will construction on Penlink begin before 2024?
Will construction on Penlink begin before 2024?
4
160Ṁ903resolved Dec 31
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https://www.nzta.govt.nz/projects/penlink/ claims construction's set to begin in 2022, which might not be off by a whole year.
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Expected start date of October. 99% seems high - are environmental impact assessments/other ways to stop construction less impactful in NZ? https://infrastructurepipeline.org/project/Penlink
predictedYES 1y
@RobertCousineau Seems less impactful than other countries, but the bigger point is that that's all pretty much done - the project's been approved. I'd guess that that sort of regulatory approval is why it didn't get built 10 years ago.
While they haven't started building the bridge itself, they have started preparatory earthworks, so I'd be surprised if they didn't start main construction this year. You might be right that 99% is too high, though.
Will construction on Penlink begin before 2024?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition
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Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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