Will anyone successfully contest one of my resolution decisions before 2031?
Basic
9
Ṁ4682030
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves NO by default, YES if (by 2031) there is a poll on Manifold itself or the official Manifold Discord where a majority of voters take issue with the way I handled a market's resolution, or someone convinces me I handled a resolution incorrectly. No one's taken issue so far, but it seems worthwhile to signal reliability and let people buy insurance on any of my markets.
2022-12-09: The Manifold Discord might not be around in 9 years and there might be a new definitive polling site, so I reserve the right to add new places where a poll can be posted.
Jan 2, 12:06pm: Will anyone successfully contest one of my resolution decisions by 2031? → Will anyone successfully contest one of my resolution decisions before 2031?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will things be okay by my lights by 2030?
43% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2024?
8% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2030?
4% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2025?
5% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2026?
7% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2027?
4% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2029?
5% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2028?
5% chance
Will a moderator fix a resolution before the end of 2024 ?
69% chance
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
39% chance