Will anyone successfully contest one of my resolution decisions before 2031?
9
closes 2030
6%
chance

This market resolves NO by default, YES if (by 2031) there is a poll on Manifold itself or the official Manifold Discord where a majority of voters take issue with the way I handled a market's resolution, or someone convinces me I handled a resolution incorrectly. No one's taken issue so far, but it seems worthwhile to signal reliability and let people buy insurance on any of my markets.

2022-12-09: The Manifold Discord might not be around in 9 years and there might be a new definitive polling site, so I reserve the right to add new places where a poll can be posted.

Jan 2, 12:06pm: Will anyone successfully contest one of my resolution decisions by 2031? → Will anyone successfully contest one of my resolution decisions before 2031?

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