How many citations will "Transformers as Approximations of Solomonoff Induction" have at the end of 2030?
3
10kṀ15502030
22.8 citations
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
74%
Above 1
57%
Above 5
50%
Above 10
50%
Above 15
50%
Above 20
52%
Above 30
41%
Above 40
Based on citations tracked by Google Scholar: https://scholar.google.co.nz/citations?view_op=view_citation&citation_for_view=MYN0H7oAAAAJ:d1gkVwhDpl0C
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will this paper (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965) get at least 50 citations by the end of 2025?
11% chance
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
Which of the ICML 2023 Outstanding Paper award winners will have the most citations at the end of 2025?
Will Michael Levin have a paper on bioelectricity or related systems which has over 2000 citations, by mid 2031
49% chance
Will a paper solely authored by an AI research agent receive at least 100 citations by EOY 2025?
7% chance
Which MATH-AI 23 works will have >50 Google Scholar citations by end of 2026?
Will a big transformer LM compose these facts without chain of thought by 2026?
57% chance
Will a big transformer LM compose these facts without chain of thought by 2026? (harder question version)
43% chance
Will this paper: “ Transformative AGI by 2043 is <1% likely” be disproven or severely held in doubt before 2025
35% chance