This is another variant of "Will this market resolve >50%?", but this market asks for time.
If this market has more time in 51%+ than 49%-, this market resolves YES.
If this market has less time in 51%+ than 49%-, this market resolves NO.
If both time durations are the same (e.g. No one votes), this market resolves N/A.
Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will determine time spent at different probability levels by carefully inspecting the graph (visual inspection of the market's probability chart over time).
Update 2025-11-03 (UTC) (Manually written by the creator): I only care if the line is above or below 50% because I don't need to check every tiny fluctuation above/below 50% to resolve this.
Update 2025-11-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not resolve the market early even if the outcome is already determined. The market will remain open until the scheduled close date.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ46 | |
| 2 | Ṁ26 | |
| 3 | Ṁ11 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
@NayutaIto this can resolve YES, right? The market time is a week, but it's already been over 50% for more than 3.5 days, so YES has to win.