Yes if any version of Mythos is available to ordinary people. Country-level bans, API-only release, specific features (like GPT-5.3-Codex) still counts as yes.
No if Anthropic says Mythos will be never made public that way.
This market is open until either of the above happens.
Update 2026-04-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator intends to resolve this market N/A and create a new market, given that Anthropic has stated it will not publicly release Mythos (but may release future "Mythos-class models").
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Anthropic said it decided not to publicly release Mythos. Instead, their hope is to eventually release "Mythos-class models" once proper safeguards are in place.
https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-mythos-latest-ai-model-too-powerful-to-be-released-2026-4?utm_source=chatgpt.com
@AlexMiller3a5e right, and presumably this market requires releasing the Mythos they've discussed as a public release, not a follow up or "Mythos class" future model. (that's how I interpret it.)
@AlexMiller3a5e yeah I think this is as strong of a statement as they're likely to make on the subject