Will, on average, more than 40% of people say the Monarchy is good for the UK, across 2025? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2026

Will, on average, more than 40% of people say the Monarchy is good for the UK, across 2025?

78%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The current % is about 55%

According to the average of this tracker in 2025, or if it isn't running, a similar one, shifted so that the average of 2020-2022 was 55% in favour (to set a clear baseline)

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/is-the-monarchy-good-or-bad-for-britain

Sort by:

is predicting NO at 79%

This is wayyy overpriced. The Queen kept a steady ~55% approval rating over the past several years, right in line with the steady ~55% saying that the monarchy is good for Britain. King Charles, on the other hand, has hovered steadfastly around ~40% and will likely lose his present little single-digit upswing as sympathy for the loss of his mother wanes.

What Did The Public Really Think of the Queen and Prince Charles in the 1990s?

Between Diana’s death and her funeral, Ipsos Mori carried out a poll on behalf of ABC news which found that 57% of British people had a favorable opinion of the Queen and 40% of Prince Charles.

Princess Diana More Popular Than King Charles in U.K. Polls

Princess Diana is still more popular than King Charles III in Britain 25 years after her death, including among young people who did not directly experience her lifetime.
The former Princess of Wales is liked by 72 percent of people and disliked by 19 percent, giving her a net approval of +53.
Charles was liked by 67 percent and disliked by 24 percent of U.K. adults, giving him a net rating of +43, according to data from YouGov.

bought Ṁ0 of NO

I'm pricing this market somewhere in the ~40% to ~55% range without temporal discounting, and somewhere in the ~35% to ~50% range after accounting for the discount rate.

sold Ṁ8 NO from 76% to 78%

bought Ṁ8 NO from 78% to 76%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 NO at 78% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ60 YES from 75% to 79%

bought Ṁ20 NO from 80% to 75%

bought Ṁ10 YES from 79% to 80%

created limit order for Ṁ10 YES at 40%

created limit order for Ṁ3 NO at 85%

bought Ṁ4 YES at 79%

sold Ṁ4 YES at 79%

created limit order for Ṁ90 YES at 56%

bought Ṁ120 YES from 67% to 79%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ24/Ṁ100 NO at 67% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ200 YES from 57% to 75%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 57%

bought Ṁ3 YES from 56% to 57%

bought Ṁ10 YES from 53% to 56%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 NO at 53% (cancelled)

Manifold Markets User

bought Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 54%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 NO at 50% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 52%

sold Ṁ0 YES at 47%

created limit order for Ṁ41 YES at 37% (cancelled)

filled limit order Ṁ21/Ṁ21 NO at 57%

filled limit order Ṁ42/Ṁ42 NO at 62%

created limit order for Ṁ20 YES at 42% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ12 NO at 88% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 91% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ19 NO at 90% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ5 NO at 98% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ3 NO at 97% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ27 NO at 75% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ9 NO at 99.0% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ12 NO at 95% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ42 NO at 80% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ13 NO at 93% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ7 NO at 77% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ3 NO at 96% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ11 NO at 94% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ2 NO at 92% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ74 NO at 85% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ19 NO at 87% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 93% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ23 NO at 85% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 88% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ3 NO at 95% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 91% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ4 NO at 80% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ3 NO at 94% (cancelled)

created limit order for Ṁ10 NO at 87% (cancelled)