My friend did IUI (intrauterine insemination) on Saturday June 29. Early thirties, no known fertility issues, all hormone and blood tests within normal if not optimal range. This was her first attempt. Resolves yes if she gets a positive pregnancy test on July 12 (two weeks after insemination).
She wanted an anonymous market. Happy to pass questions on to her.
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน12,506 | |
| 2 | แน5,186 | |
| 3 | แน697 | |
| 4 | แน427 | |
| 5 | แน302 |
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Feel bad for your friend...it's harder to get pregnant than sex ed would have everyone believe. Good luck next month!
1 Hour limit @ 23% for 10K. Use it and maybe (I) loose it ๐ @evan
@TheWabiSabi Unfortunately, I am all out of mana, I have spent so much on this market
@bens Any project manager will tell you that if you can't wait 9 months for the pregnancy to come to term, just get two women to do it in half the time.
Presumably the friend wanted this market to get an accurate assessment of her chances. Unclear to me that she would want to see high odds, if the odds are in fact low, as that could lead to greater disappointment if it doesn't happen. As a result, manifestation seems both cruel and perhaps a poor mana making strategy.
@JZB chances are 10-20%, so having a limit order a 20% isn't making the market going all crazy into the 50%+. We also don't know her intent of this market.
@JZB Yes, but buying Yes still feels more wholesome. Also, she can do some insider trading in case of bad news, and at least make some Mana out of the whole thing.
@SamuelKnoche I had my own recent 'is she pregnant market' and had no problem with any no or yes betting. In the end its just a vibe check.