Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?
Basic
5
Ṁ662026
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on IMO before 2026?
37% chance
Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?
27% chance
LLM Hallucination: Will an LLM score >90% on SimpleQA before 2026?
55% chance
Will a LLM trained with FP4 have competitive performance in 2 years time?
22% chance
Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?
66% chance
Which company will have the best LLM by the end of 2024?
Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?
66% chance
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
40% chance
Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2025?
20% chance
At EOY 2024, who will have the best LLM?