Who is grimes' alt? [resolves when 95% confident]

Basic

Ṁ220

2030

42%

Other

12%

@Eigenrobot

46%

Avril Levine

0.1%

Bjork

0.1%

Claire L. Evans

0.5%

amongus

Will resolve when I am 95% sure of the correct answer.

The "ingroup" alt she alludes to here:
https://twitter.com/Grimezsz/status/1608658474963177472

Dec 30, 12:20pm: ~~Who is grimes' alt?~~ → Who is grimes' alt? [resolves when 95% confident]

Close date updated to 2023-12-30 3:59 pm

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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WHY'D YOU HAVE TO GO AND MAKE THIS SO COMPLICATED

@NathanpmYoung Can you resolve or extend?

Does this resolve when you are 95% confident, or when the market is 95% confident?

I think it is better to have the resolution criteria in the title, can be like "Who is grimes' alt? [resolve when 95% confident]". That's what the market is really on, for example maybe grimes would be less likely to admit ownership of a cursed account, then the prob here would be lower than the real prob. I guess technically every market is like this but not really when we are expecting strong evidence

Oh this means alternative social media account. Damn I am getting old I guess...

@BTE Aren't we all!

Avril Levine?

@BTE Add the option!

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