Who is grimes' alt? [resolves when 95% confident]
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Dec 30
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Avril Levine
0%
Bjork
0%
Claire L. Evans
1%
amongus

Will resolve when I am 95% sure of the correct answer.

The "ingroup" alt she alludes to here:
https://twitter.com/Grimezsz/status/1608658474963177472

Dec 30, 12:20pm: Who is grimes' alt? โ†’ Who is grimes' alt? [resolves when 95% confident]

Close date updated to 2023-12-30 3:59 pm

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WHY'D YOU HAVE TO GO AND MAKE THIS SO COMPLICATED

@NathanpmYoung Can you resolve or extend?

Does this resolve when you are 95% confident, or when the market is 95% confident?

I think it is better to have the resolution criteria in the title, can be like "Who is grimes' alt? [resolve when 95% confident]". That's what the market is really on, for example maybe grimes would be less likely to admit ownership of a cursed account, then the prob here would be lower than the real prob. I guess technically every market is like this but not really when we are expecting strong evidence

bought แน€10 of Avril Levine

Oh this means alternative social media account. Damn I am getting old I guess...

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@BTE Aren't we all!

Avril Levine?

@BTE Add the option!