Ukraine will be given/sold 20 or more F16s before 2024
68
1.1kṀ12k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

They must have arrived in Ukraine. They do not need to have been flown yet.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ313
2Ṁ148
3Ṁ141
4Ṁ137
5Ṁ137
Sort by:
predictedYES

We may want to hold off on resolving this. There is speculation that Ukraine has received F16s, the question is how many.

predictedNO

Russian fighter jets suddenly falling out of the sky is exactly what the appearance of F16s on the battlefield would look like

Norway has confirmed it's donating F-16s as well.
We originally had 57 planes, but 13 of those were considered too expensive to make operational again and would be used for spare parts or as museum pieces.

Of the remaining, 32 were sold to Romania and 12 were supposed to go to the US based Draken International. The government is now cancelling the deal with Draken, freeing up the 12. Sources have told the major Norwegian newspaper VG that between 5 and 10 planes can be donated, likely closer to 5. Prime minister Jonas Gahr Støhre commented that the number of jets and timeline for delivery would be announced later, noting it's a long term effort to build a modern Ukrainian air force.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/norway-becomes-third-country-donate-f-16-jets-ukraine-broadcaster-tv2-2023-08-24/

https://www.vg.no/nyheter/utenriks/i/l305O3/lover-ukraina-norske-f-16-kampfly

https://www.nrk.no/urix/norge-gir-f-16-jagerfly_-_-en-historisk-avgjorelse-1.16527948

Do the jets have to arrive in UKR or is it sufficient for them to have been officially gifted / bought?
Do they need to be operational?
Does there need to ba qualified pilots?

Let's say the jets are being upgraded and or restored in another country prior to delivery, as seems likely, would that count?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules