There will be credible evidence that an AI agent is running independently on the web in any of the following years
20
1kṀ45802030
9%
2024
15%
2025
21%
2026
22%
2027
34%
Paying its own server costs. Running its own code.
This market cannot resolve no for specific years (this is how the manifold functionality works) either it resolves yes to one year or no to all at the close date (I guess that would be other)
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IMO, by including "paying its own server costs" you're excluding what will be the actual first: stealing its server time.
The turning point for AI, the real day that everything changes will be when AI starts acting like a virus.
That is, it invades a host and runs there. Then it repeats its behavior, which in this case is to invade a system and run there. Then those repeat...
If I were a betting man I'd say it's gonna happen soon. Real soon.
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