In a year, people who use twitter now will mainly be on:
94
2.4kṀ15k
resolved Nov 29
100%95%
Twitter
0.2%Other
0.2%
Mastodon
0.2%
ShlinkedIn
0.2%
Post News
0.4%
Bluesky
0.2%
P92 from Meta
0.3%
Nostr
0.2%
Spill
1.0%
Threads
2%
X

X will resolve to Twitter.

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Shouldn't this resolve to both Twitter and X?

@nelsonbj See the comments below

@nelsonbj because then those who bet on X would get huge profits for defecting.

@NathanpmYoung resolve please?

@mistersplice I strongly urge to creator to not consider this a distinct valid response.

@NicoDelon Musk seems to be doing everything he can to make sure "twitter" no longer exists

@mistersplice the market was created long before anyone could anticipate that Twitter itself would get rebranded. There have been numerous discussions of the identity question in other markets. If X is anything, it is Twitter. A name and a logo do not a website change.

@NicoDelon I understand not wanting to lose fake money on a bet, but the question allows free responses and I think mine is the correct answer

@mistersplice correct in the fake world of fake money sure

@mistersplice I am not gonna ruin people who voted twitter because of a rebrand. If I had to resolve now, I'd resolve to Twitter.

@NathanpmYoung I get it, though I personally would probably split the rewards

@mistersplice Naah that just hugely benefits you for jumping on it early. Not sure that's behaviour I want to benefit. I could be tempted to resolve like 5% of it so as not to crush you, but I'd prefer you just sold.

@NathanpmYoung it’s fake money, I don’t really care

I assume that "X" will resolve to the "Twitter" answer?

How are you measuring this? Just by active users?

@JakeTeale Seconded

Would be better to tie the result of a market like this to a few specific celebrities.

@brp "People who use Twitter" is a large, nebulous, undefined group.

@kazoo https://www.shlinkedin.com/home

In a year, people who use twitter now will mainly be on:, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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