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MANIFOLD
By 2024, will I believe Leverage is a cult?
15
Ṁ1.3kṀ2.3k
resolved Feb 21
Resolved as
15%

Resolves to my credence that Leverage is currently a cult.

State of discussion:

  • I have read some people's thoughts

  • Kerry makes a good point that if the team is small and remote it's hard to be a cult https://twitter.com/KerryLVaughan/status/1593777851664400386?s=20&t=_Fbkyt_y0nRzmZ5mLSn1vw

  • I have read 2 accounts of stuff at leverage. One reads very worryingly, the other reads as people trying to do hard things. Seems largely irrelevant to whether Leverage is a cult though

  • Feels like a cult needs members, leverage doesn't have these

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Is there anywhere you've detailed your current thoughts?

@JamesSully In the comments

predictedNO

@NathanpmYoung I the description

predictedYES

If you decide that it definitely used to be a cult but is now definitely not, how does that resolve?

@DanielFilan Negatively.

I assume this resolves with your credence at the resolution time? Or is it binary according to which side of 50/50 you're on?

predictedYES

@DanielFilan I guess it could also resolve positive if you ever cross some threshold and negative otherwise.

predictedNO

@danielFilan I was gonna do binary, but credence feel's better right?

@NathanpmYoung credence seems significantly better to me

@kaarelh Agreed

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