S&P 500 breaker before April 30?
171
10kṀ360kresolved May 4
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ6,217 | |
2 | Ṁ3,495 | |
3 | Ṁ3,434 | |
4 | Ṁ3,127 | |
5 | Ṁ3,046 |
People are also trading
Sort by:
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
There are a couple economic data releases for April that could theoretically trigger a sell-off, I don't think any of them are terribly likely to do so but 5% seems fair to me.
@SaviorofPlant since circuit breakers were introduced in 1987 they have been triggered they have been triggered exactly 5 times (4 in march 2020) across about 10,000 trading sessions or 0.05% of days
given the data released are already priced in 5% seems about 20x too high to me