Each answer resolves NO if there are no reports of a launch license within the time listed following the launch of IFT-3
Eg "Within 1 week" resolves NO if there's no report of a license 7*24 hrs after the T-0 of IFT-3
Also note: if the FAA publishes the launch license within the timeframe of an answer but there's no reports of it until later, that answer will resolve NO
A "launch license for IFT-4" is any license issued by the FAA that authorises a fourth full stack launch of Starship
In the unlikely event that the FAA grants a launch license for a fourth flight before IFT-3 occurs, all answers will resolve YES
Edit: Exact dates have been added to the answers given the Starship IFT-3 launch that occurred at 9:25 a.m. EDT on March 14th
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The license was issued on June 4th:
I don't know if the "June 4th" option means "before June 4th" or "on or before June 4th"
@chrisjbillington or is it on or before 9:25EDT on 4th? but probably not going to find out time when it was issued.
@ChristopherRandles Correct: "Each answer resolves NO if there are no reports of a launch license within the time listed following the launch of IFT-3
Eg "Within 1 week" resolves NO if there's no report of a license 7*24 hrs after the T-0 of IFT-3"
@traders Added a few more answers in the 1-2 month range, and edited all existing answers to include the actual date given that IFT-3 has occurred
Also, curious about people's thoughts on whether it's best to leave the market in terms of IFT-3 date, or just reword it to the now equivalent "When will the FAA grant a launch license for IFT-4" with only a mention in the description that this market was originally framed in reference to IFT-3 date
@Nat I think I like it the way it is now, because it will be easier to compare to other markets in the future. Like if there's a market for ift-5 after ift-4, it's easier to compare to this market if you leave it as "1 month after".
Having the actual date as well is a nice touch, now that we have that info. Best of both worlds.