Oklahoma State Representative Jim Olsen introduced bill HB1011 to the Oklahoma state legislature on January 4th. The bill makes provision of "any gender transition procedures" for those under 26 a felony.
The bill is scheduled for its first reading on February 6th. Many other legislatures have introduced similar bills. There is another bill, SB 129, which has been introduced in Oklahoma Senate which bans gender affirming hormone therapy (GAHT) for young adults up to 26.
This market resolves as YES if Oklahoma declares provision of GAHT to everyone under the age of 21 (or greater) a felony in the year 2023. The market still resolves as yes if a state or federal court strikes down the ban.The market still resolves as yes if a state or federal court strikes down the ban. It resolves as no if the Oklahoma legislature makes provision of GAHT a felony in the year 2024 or if the age cutoff is below 21 or if no such ban is enacted.
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@LukeHanks Oklahoma already passed a bill restricting GAHT for those under 18 back in May which does not satisfy the criteria for YES. I do not believe there is any legislative appetite to pass another bill in Oklahoma. The lack of change in price for the past 5 months (including the passage of the law) is also suspicious.
That said, it is not impossible that Oklahoma will pass a different bill which does the same thing, so I hedged and said I think.