In fall of 2022, the University of Wyoming chapter of the Kappa Kappa Gamma sorority accepted a transgender student named Artemis Langford as a member. In spring 2023, several other members of the sorority filed a lawsuit against Langford and against the sorority itself. (The identities of both the plaintiffs and the defendant were later disclosed by the judge handling the case.)

This past week, the plaintiffs have begun speaking to the press, and the story has been picked up by various conservative news sites (e.g., National Review, Fox News). The allegations in the lawsuit seem to be, basically:

• That the sorority acted illegally by admitting a transgender member without formally changing its bylaws to permit this,

• That members of the sorority were pressured into admitting Langford by a non-anonymous voting procedure,

• That Langford, as a member of the sorority, has behaved inappropriately in the sorority's housing and caused other members to feel unsafe there, and

• That the UW chapter's membership is in decline as a result of the decision to admit Langford.

Other than the campus newspaper articles linked above, I haven't found any articles written in support of Langford yet. The only public statement from the defendants so far has been boilerplate saying that the allegations are false and that the sorority supports diversity.

This market will resolve YES if the lawsuit is found in favor of the plaintiffs, and NO if it is found in favor of the defendants. If the lawsuit is dismissed or otherwise settled without a ruling, it will also resolve NO, unless the terms of such a settlement result in Langford being removed from the sorority or being barred from entering the sorority's housing (i.e., the stated goals of the lawsuit), in which case it will resolve YES. I will not be betting in this market.