Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before the market's closing time, ChatGPT determines that significant market manipulation has occurred. Market manipulation is defined as intentional actions designed to deceive investors by artificially affecting the price or volume of securities. Examples include, but are not limited to:

• Pump and Dump Schemes: Spreading false or misleading information to inflate a stock's price before selling off shares at the higher price. (investor.gov)

• Spoofing: Placing large orders with the intent to cancel them before execution, creating a false impression of demand or supply. (investopedia.com)

• Wash Trading: Simultaneously buying and selling the same security to create the illusion of increased trading activity. (investor.gov)

• Quote Stuffing: Entering and withdrawing large numbers of orders rapidly to flood the market and create confusion. (en.wikipedia.org)

• Bear Raids: Attempting to push a stock's price down by heavy selling or short selling. (en.wikipedia.org)

The determination of "significant" manipulation will be based on the impact of the actions on market integrity and investor confidence. If no such determination is made by ChatGPT before the market closes, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

Market manipulation undermines the integrity of financial markets and can lead to substantial investor losses. Regulatory bodies worldwide, such as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), actively monitor and prosecute such activities to maintain fair and efficient markets. (investor.gov)

Considerations

Traders should be aware that market manipulation can be challenging to detect and prove, often requiring substantial evidence and regulatory intervention. The resolution of this market depends on ChatGPT's assessment of available information before the market's closing time.