Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the month in 2026 in which Elon Musk physically visits a country in the Middle East or to “Does not visit”.

• Definition of “Visit”: Elon Musk must physically enter the territory of any Middle Eastern country.

• Definition of “Middle East”: the region is strictly defined as the sovereign territory or designated administrative zones of the following 17 countries/territories: Bahrain, Cyprus, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkiye, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.

• Exclusions: Remote or virtual appearances (such as his video-link address to the Tel Aviv Smart Mobility Summit in May 2026) do not qualify as a physical visit. Brief airport layovers where he does not leave the terminal will not count.

• Resolution Source: Major international news outlets (such as Reuters, Bloomberg, AFP, AP News) or official posts from Elon Musk's verified X account (@elonmusk) confirming his presence in the region.

• No Visit: If Elon Musk does not physically visit a Middle Eastern country during any of the listed months (August through December 2026), this market will resolve to “Does not visit”.

Background

Elon Musk has maintained active business and political engagements in the Gulf and broader Middle East.

In May 2025, he visited Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE as part of a U.S. delegation, securing major technology and infrastructure agreements.

In December 2025, he visited Dubai for high-level meetings with UAE leadership regarding Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) rollouts and SpaceX partnerships.

In May 2026, Musk was scheduled to visit Israel to attend a technology event in Tel Aviv. However, he canceled the in-person trip due to scheduling conflicts with SpaceX’s IPO preparations and instead addressed the summit via video link.

Travel dynamics in the region have become more complex since the US-Iran war began on Feb. 28.

This description was generated with the help of AI.