Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
18
1kṀ2141
2026
74%
chance

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions

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