Only posts published after January 1, 2023 at midnight UTC are eligible. Will an eligible post have a karma score of 600 or more by market close?

Karma scores can be seen at https://www.lesswrong.com/allPosts?timeframe=yearly&sortedBy=top, but if that page is changed, a karma score shown anywhere on the site can count.

This happened twice in 2022 (Eliezer Yudkowsky's List of Lethalities and Paul Christiano's response) but not in any previous year.

If the karma system is changed to give votes More or Less weight, that doesn't matter; this market is just about reaching the raw number of 600 however the system at the time determines it.

If the karma system is abolished and not reinstated, or if Less Wrong ceases to exist, this market resolves NO at close.

If the system gives each post multiple types of karma (e.g. agreement karma like comments), I will not add together all the different scores. I will only consider the main karma score, or if it is unclear which type is the main one, whichever karma score has the highest number for each post.

If I suspect karma scores are displaying incorrectly due to a site bug, I may require the score to remain at 600 or above for up to 24 hours.