Predictions about Isaac's iterated PD competition
14
1.3kṀ3716
resolved Nov 28
Resolved
YES
There are at least 50 submissions.
Resolved
YES
The winner uses the opponent's code.
Resolved
YES
The winner uses the game history.
Resolved
YES
The winner uses the opponent's ID.
Resolved
N/A
The winner has odd number of rounds where it defects
Resolved
NO
The worst performing non-disqualified bot defects in more than 25% of the rounds.
Resolved
NO
The winner uses the "always defect"-strategy against the majority of its opponents
Resolved
NO
The winner uses the "tit-for-tat"-strategy against the majority of its opponents
Resolved
NO
The winner uses the "grim trigger"-strategy against the majority of its opponents
Resolved
NO
The winner cooperates at least once against a bot that doesn’t use the history, code, or ID of its opponent.
Resolved
NO
There are at least 100 submissions.

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/which-240-character-program-wins-th

Notes:

  • For predictions about the characteristics of the winner: if there is a tie, resolves to the % of the tied winners that the prediction is true of.

  • "The winner uses X" means that there is some situation where, if the parameter X had a different value, the winning program would return a different result.

Feel free to add your own!

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ160
2Ṁ59
3Ṁ36
4Ṁ36
5Ṁ27
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy