Predictions about Isaac's iterated PD competition
14
1.3kṀ3716resolved Nov 28
Resolved
YESThere are at least 50 submissions.
Resolved
YESThe winner uses the opponent's code.
Resolved
YESThe winner uses the game history.
Resolved
YESThe winner uses the opponent's ID.
Resolved
N/AThe winner has odd number of rounds where it defects
Resolved
NOThe worst performing non-disqualified bot defects in more than 25% of the rounds.
Resolved
NOThe winner uses the "always defect"-strategy against the majority of its opponents
Resolved
NOThe winner uses the "tit-for-tat"-strategy against the majority of its opponents
Resolved
NOThe winner uses the "grim trigger"-strategy against the majority of its opponents
Resolved
NOThe winner cooperates at least once against a bot that doesn’t use the history, code, or ID of its opponent.
Resolved
NOThere are at least 100 submissions.
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/which-240-character-program-wins-th
Notes:
For predictions about the characteristics of the winner: if there is a tie, resolves to the % of the tied winners that the prediction is true of.
"The winner uses X" means that there is some situation where, if the parameter X had a different value, the winning program would return a different result.
Feel free to add your own!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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