What's true of the mice reportedly released at the UCLA Gaza protest?
➕
Plus
22
Ṁ1884
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES
They were genuinely released at UCLA
Resolved
YES
They were thrown
Resolved
9%
They were injected with something
Resolved
44%
They were released by Zionists/counter-protestors
Resolved
25%
They were released by the protesters themselves
Resolved
4%
They were injected with disease in an attempt to harm the protesters
Resolved
19%
They were released by accident
Resolved
71%
Many were killed on impact
Resolved
40%
They belonged to a UCLA lab

Reports on Twitter are claiming that "Zionist" counter-protestors threw a bag of mice at the Gaza protest encampment in UCLA.

https://twitter.com/SabihaKhan/status/1784893820343328862?t=mfoUXwcAAnVaq2-6Aou8Gg&s=19

https://twitter.com/SuppressedNws/status/1785229142897684968?t=Qd6_0hzupG7z_Mz31b4irA&s=19

Entries will be resolved YES or NO based on my judgement. If someone links to a credible statement from mainstream media or UCLA itself stating that they checked and confirmed or disconfirmed something, it will resolve immediately.

If there is no new info on an option by 2025, it will resolve to the trading price, unless it strikes me as obviously crazy (e.g. I'll cap mutually exclusive options if they would sum to more than 100%, I'll negate anything I think is deliberate market manipulation.)

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Two updates:

  • The LAPD have arrested one of the counter-protestors (not for throwing mice, for the other stuff that happened later), and the AP article on the arrest mentions the mice-throwing as fact. I've temporarily paused trading so people can make their arguments as to whether this should count for resolution.

  • Since evidence has been slow in coming, and the odds of a thorough investigation only drop over time, I'm considering adding a deadline to this market. Something like "If there is no new info on an option by 2025, it will resolve to the trading price, unless it strikes me as obviously manipulated."

Okay, absent any arguments to the contrary, I'm going to treat this as confirming that mice were indeed thrown at them. I'm leaving the options related to the identity of the perpetrators open since there's no indication they were specifically IDed.

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