Will the US AISI cease to exist under trump?
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2029
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If the US AISI institute closes down during Trump's second term, this question will resolve as yes.

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opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 70% order

Does this count AISI being merged with something else as closing down?

As best I can tell, the US AI Safety institute is likely to be shuttered in the near future.  See this Kalshi market too: this market.  

Trump rescinded Executive Order 14110, which established the U.S. AI Safety Institute (AISI).

There was some congressional work going on (HR 9497 and S.4769) and that would have formalized the AISI outside of the executive order, but that has not been enacted per my best understanding of the machinations of our government.  

Here's to hoping I'm wrong!

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