Will Polish parliament legalize abortion on demand before 2028?
Basic
8
Ṁ2162027
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently abortion in Poland is legal only under specific circumstances: when pregnancy is an effect of a crime (e.g. rape) or it is a risk for the mother's life or health.
There is a strong lobby in favor of liberalization of abortion law. In practice, abortion is accessible though organisations which provide abortion pills.
Resolves YES regardless of the legal cut-off, for example if abortion on demand is legal only before the 12th week of pregnancy.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?
53% chance
[Metaculus] Will Poland legalize gay marriage by 2030?
30% chance
Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?
73% chance
Will Polish parliament end „Rodzina 500 plus” before 2030?
24% chance
Will Polish parliament lift the Sunday retail ban before 2030?
72% chance
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2024?
21% chance
Will Poland implement a new electoral system for the Sejm before 2030?
25% chance
Will Poland become more authoritarian in 2024?
20% chance
Will Poland adopt the euro before 2035?
50% chance
Will Poland adopt the euro before 2030?
28% chance