1,000People are also trading
@traders ok i've investigated this.
Question title: "Will Lewandowski still be the captain of the Polish national team at the 2026 World Cup?"
Relevant creator clarifications: there are a few comments you can see below, but key quotes
How will this resolve if Poland do not qualify?
couldn't it just resolve based on who is going to be the captain during qualifications?
The spirit of my question was more like "Will Lewandowski resign as a captain before the 2026 World Cup". I didn't take into account that Poland could not qualify... Or maybe it would be better to N/A it then...
I don't think it's possible that he would be the captain during qualification and then was replaced by someone else... And also aren't qualifications technically a part of the World Cup? Based on that I'm leaning towards resolving based on who is going to be the captain during qualification if Poland doesn't qualify and based on who is the captain in 2026 if they do.
Timeline:
when the question was created, lewandowski was captain
in june 2025, lewandowski skipped training camp, he was stripped of his captaincy.
he annoucned he would not play for that coach, and skips next game.
coach resigns, lewandowski becomes captain again. as of the end of their qualification campaign, he was again captain.
How to resolve?
In the most literal reading of the title, this is YES. if you asked me "who is captain of polish national team", i'd say lewandowski—he was the captain as of their most recent game, and i'd imagine he'd be captain if they had to play tmrw.
in part of the creator clarifications, the creator says the spirit of the question was in part "Will Lewandowski resign as a captain before the 2026 World Cup". if that's the intent, then this is NO, since he did resign. however, that was when creator was asked about how to handle poland not being at the world cup, so i'm not convinced the creator actually intended to state there that this is how they should handle "resign but return before the world cup".
i am leaning towards resolving this N/A. the creator is inactive, so they can't clarify their intent. the title, taken literally, implies YES. a very literal reading of their clarifying comment implies NO. if they aren't here to resolve that contradiction, i tend to prefer N/A. fwiw, if i had to choose a resolution, i'd likely go with YES—the title has a straightforward interpretation. but the title and the clarifications do seem contradictory, hence i prefer N/A.
i will wait a day or two to resolve, to give chance for traders who are inclined to change my mind (or if you think this is wrong you can ping another mod for a ruling, although no promises that any are around).
@Ziddletwix i genuinely feel that the best case is for n/a. since poland cannot be "at" the world cup(they did not qualify), it refers to a situation which didn't happen, and thus is simply n/a, it does not apply, not applicable
@XCorporation because it says "will lewandowski still be the captain of the polish national team" AT "the 2026 world cup"
@Ziddletwix Thanks for taking the time to investigate and clarifying the timeline of the relevant events. Yet I have difficulty understanding some of your points.
1) You wrote:
the creator is inactive, so they can't clarify their intent.
Seems to me that the creator already clarified their intent with the comments:
The spirit of my question was more like 'Will Lewandowski resign as a captain before the 2026 World Cup'. I didn't take into account that Poland could not qualify. ...
... And also aren't qualifications technically a part of the World Cup? Based on that I'm leaning towards resolving based on who is going to be the captain during qualification if Poland doesn't qualify and based on who is the captain in 2026 if they do.
In my reading, the creator did not consider the possibility of Poland not qualifying when creating the market, but gave a resolution criterion once the possibility was raised by a user.
As far as resolution for the case of Poland not qualifying goes, the creator's intent seems to be clear.
2) You wrote:
a very literal reading of their clarifying comment implies NO.
Which clarifying comment are you referring to? Comments in reply to user Morch?
Which clarifying comment are you referring to? Comments in reply to user Morch?
I'm referring to this comment:
The spirit of my question was more like "Will Lewandowski resign as a captain before the 2026 World Cup"
The creator explained what they intended as the "spirit of the question" (which normally would be considered fairly definitive), and it has a straightforward answer—Lewandowski absolutely did resign as a captain before the 2026 world cup. The reason I don't think this question straightforwardly resolves NO is that (1) the creator was probably being sloppy with their words here, as they were trying to clarify a different point (so they may not have paid any attention to how this clarification handles the case of him resigning and returning, even though as stated it rules it out) and (2) it is arguably in conflict with the title ("still" could potentially be interpreted as requiring "captain for the entire time" but IMO that isn't the default, so there's some conflict).
That's why I currently intend to resolve N/A. My goal is to follow the creator's intentions and their stated words are in conflict with each other.
(I'll resolve now but if people convince me otherwise or convince another mod then it can always be unresolved)
@Ziddletwix I'm not convinced by your reasoning.
The creator's full comment was:
Or maybe it would be better to N/A it then... The spirit of my question was more like "Will Lewandowski resign as a captain before the 2026 World Cup". I didn't take into account that Poland could not qualify. I'm open to a discussion and will then clarify the resolution criteria.
Read in this full context, the sentence: 'The spirit of my question was more like "Will Lewandowski resign as a captain before the 2026 World Cup"' was NOT intended by the creator as a resolution criterion. Instead, the creator's intention by writing this was actually to admit that the resolution criteria need further clarification.
For this reason, I don't think it is appropriate to use the above sentence as a resolution criterion.
A few minutes later after the above comment, the creator came up with an actual resolution criterion:
I don't think it's possible that he would be the captain during qualification and then was replaced by someone else... And also aren't qualifications technically a part of the World Cup? Based on that I'm leaning towards resolving based on who is going to be the captain during qualification if Poland doesn't qualify and based on who is the captain in 2026 if they do.
This proposal closes two gaps. First, it is now clear how to resolve whether or not Poland qualifies. Second, it is now clear how to resolve whether or not Lewandowski may cease for a period to be the captain before the world cup (including qualification).
In short, the creator realized their original market was ambiguous, and satisfactorily closed the gaps by the latest comment. I contend that the market should resolve Yes accordingly.
@strutheo @Ziddletwix @mods In the first comment on the market, a user asked how this market will resolve if Poland does not qualify.
The market creator replies: "Based on that I'm leaning towards resolving based on who is going to be the captain during qualification if Poland doesn't qualify and based on who is the captain in 2026 if they do."
I believe the market should resolve Yes according to the creator's intention.
@strutheo sorry i tagged you, was trying to get someone to call mods because in my opinion, yes is fundamentally wrong
@100Anonymous @Bayesian @MrLuke255 you are important people who know mods, please fix this diabolical situation
@mods poland didn't qualify and he basically quit after his captain position was removed, please & thank you