Will all clones of this market have an average final prediction above 50% when they all close?
10
123
50
resolved Sep 17
Resolved
NO

Each time somebody posts a market with the exact same title and description, except for the number at the bottom of the description, which must be incremented by 1, a "clone" is made (including this first one). For the clone to be valid, the market must be created by someone who hasn't cloned this market before.

All the clones should resolve the same as the first one (made by @MrLuke255).

Resolves to yes if the average value of predictions of all duplicated markets ("clones", including the first one) at close time is greater than 50% (after all are closed), otherwise no.

All clones in order to be valid must close at the same day as this one.

Duplicated market should be posted in comments.

1

Companion market:

Inspired by @ItsMe https://manifold.markets/ItsMe/will-somebody-clone-this-question?r=TXJMdWtlMjU1

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Resolved NO:

See also my other market:

Number 2 duplicate

@Metastable You can resolve now

Example: this market closes at 40%, another two at 55% and 60%. The average is 55,67% which is above 50%.