He has won 10 out of 12 races so far. He has 10 more to go. Let's call his chances of winning a race 10 in 12, or 0.83. With 10 races that gives a 0.83^10=0.16, so 16% chance of winning all of the other races.

on the bookies his odds for the next one are -300 (75% chance of winning).   There are 14 races remaining.  0.75^14 = 0.0178.  I expect black swans to disrupt his dominance rather more than enhancing it.

Where did you find the odds/how do you calculate the percentage? I'd expect his odds for a single race to be a bit better by now

He's been on a roll. But surely he won't win every race! Right?

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ263
2		Ṁ106
3		Ṁ84
4		Ṁ77
5		Ṁ50

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