With the third human case of H5N1 Bird Flu reported in US, how many human cases will be confirmed in 2024?
Basic
31
4.8k
2025
41%
Less than 10 cases
48%
10-100 cases
25%
100-1,000 cases
10%
1,001+ cases

On May 31st the third human case was confirmed, and the second in Michigan. All cases so far have involved farm workers with proximity to infected cattle.
https://deepnewz.com/bio/second-human-h5n1-bird-flu-case-michigan-third-u-s-this-year

Market will resolve based on consensus of media reports.

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1 human died— Just south of US, in Mexico, and h5n2 (strain in poultry) instead of h5n1 ( strain circulating in dairy cows in US). No known exposure, but underlying medical issues.

https://time.com/6986026/mexico-death-tied-to-bird-flu-strain-never-before-seen-in-people/

@SusanneinFrance But that is a different disease, and this market specifically mentions H5N1 flu. Given that the close contacts had respiratory diseases, and COVID-19 tests were negative, when the antibody tests come back I would wager that some of them had mild H5N2, and that H5N2 is contagious but not severe.

But this market isn't about that.