Now that several sitting Congressmen have called on Biden to step down, will there be a sitting Senator to do so?
The market will resolve YES if there is a widely sourced media report (or official Twitter account) making such a statement.
OR the market will resolve YES if Biden drops out.
The market will resolve NO if no such statement is widely reported by noon Eastern Time on 07/14/2024
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Fox News: Senator John Kennedy remarks Biden is politically dead as fried chicken -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w8QewoJec5U
If this isn't a call for Biden to step down, it's as close as you can come to it while technically not calling for it. The interview is basically a series of strong arguments for Biden to step down.
Mark Warner is supposedly assembling a team to ask Joe Biden to re-evaluate or drop out.
According to a Washington Post article.
https://x.com/TheCalvinCooli1/status/1809313501732827341
If this report is confirmed by his staff, or Warner makes a public statement, that will likely resolve the market as "YES"
There is a similar Polymarket for a sitting Senator at 61% -- our deadline is sooner
https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-democratic-senator-call-on-biden-to-drop-out?tid=1720110492881
But with a deadline of August 19th -- the Democratic Convention