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MANIFOLD
Will the US strike Iranian forces directly in 2024?
45
Ṁ810Ṁ7.3k
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
YES

Resolves yes if the US conducts an airstrike or other direct military action in Iran or against Iranian forces, not proxies. Also, doesn’t count clandestine unconfirmed operations. Must be public, reported on.

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I don't see how this could possibly resolve no with CENTCOM openly saying they conducted airstrikes against IRGC Quds Force

predictedYES

@Molari

predictedYES

U.S. retaliatory strikes start in Iraq and Syria in first response to Jordan drone attack


predictedYES

"Biden has approved plans for multiday strikes in Iraq and Syria against multiple targets, including Iranian personnel and facilities, according to U.S. officials. But the response, expected to begin as soon as this weekend, will be “tiered,” mixing military actions with other steps that can be adjusted to signal that Washington doesn’t seek further escalation."

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/shadow-war-with-iran-risks-turning-into-a-direct-conflict-6b8eddd9?mod=hp_lead_pos3

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