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MANIFOLD
What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
96
Ṁ5kṀ100k
resolved May 15
Resolved
YES
Nuclear
Resolved
YES
Iran
Resolved
YES
Ship / chip
Resolved
YES
Strait / Hormuz
Resolved
YES
Peng
Resolved
NO
AI/Artificial Intelligence
Resolved
NO
Japan / Korea
Resolved
NO
Friend of mine
Resolved
NO
Tariff
Resolved
NO
Taiwan / Tibet
Resolved
NO
Covid / Pandemic
Resolved
NO
Mao
Resolved
NO
Fentanyl
Resolved
NO
TikTok
Resolved
NO
Great Wall
Resolved
NO
Farmer
Resolved
NO
Soybean
Resolved
NO
Sleepy Joe
Resolved
NO
Hong Kong
Resolved
NO
Crypto / Bitcoin

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026. All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-xi-jinping

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@traders bet on what trump will say this month (kalshi)

bought Ṁ818 NO

The event is over and there’s no video evidence trump said any of the remaining words. I am going to resolve remaining words as NO unless someone has any video evidence.

bought Ṁ350 YES

Trump said Iran/nuclear/strait here https://youtu.be/dNHC0UkoBmw?si=xQGuJghjjhj7aeeU

bought Ṁ250 YES

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-xi-jinping-meeting-china-beijing-trade-tariffs-taiwan-iran/
despite there not being video evidence, I think this is pretty clear.

@100Anonymous video evidence is required per rule, luckily he did say it on camera.

• anything romantic

@AlanTennant “Sleepy Joe” and “hottest” are already up there, or are you thinking something more like Trump accidentally quoting Taylor Swift lyrics at Xi?

@Mochi I think trump has feelings towards certain types of guys.

bought Ṁ10 YES

The White House said that both sides agreed in the talks on Thursday that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open. The waterway, crucial for global energy supplies, has been effectively blocked since the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran began in late February. “Both countries agreed that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon,” according to the U.S. readout of the meeting.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/05/13/world/trump-xi-summit-china/heres-the-latest?smid=url-share

@MachiNi note the resolution source requires broadcast or streamed live video events. You can reference this Polymarket to see whether it has happened https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-xi-jinping

@Mochi my mistake

Taiwan Number One

bought Ṁ10 YES

@traders added some more answers to trade!

@predyx_markets thanks for the additional liqudiity subsidy!

@Mochi you’re welcome.

Lmk if there’s anything you want me to add.