🏅 Top traders

If the main market N/As with ambig/annul from Metaculus, the implied odds for the main market from this market are like 80%.

I guess we need another market for the odds of 50/50 resolution on the manifold market lol

@Sketchy Yea I think the odds in main market would be very different depending on whether ambiguous would be 50-50 or NAed. Also buying NO could be a good option in main market regardless of 50-50 or NAed, since you get higher payoff on the potential of a NO resolution with low risk of losing to a YES resolution. It’s so difficult to price the market at the moment lol but I’d be really disappointed with NA since it reverses all transactions.

@Sketchy well pricing the main market is so weird with YES and NO being equal. I guess 50% should be right