Masters Season 39 Prop Bets

Question

New masters winner: someone who has not won before wins.

Favorites definition: top 4 in odds at market initialization from Brad’s master winner market (jack1, mochi, Bayesian, Semi)

Demotion cutoff: determined by the 12th place user

(https://manifold.markets/embed/prismatic/who-will-win-masters-season-39)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, A user ends with >50k unique trader bonus, followed by A user generates >50k profits from one market and Demotion cutoff at 12k or higher are most likely. See the market for live updates (11 traders, as of Jul 21, 2026).

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