When will Whales vs. Minnows' tabulation time be?
8
150Ṁ6686
resolved Apr 21
Resolved
YES

Resolves 0% if market tabulates before April 17 10 AM PST.

Resolves 100% if market tabulates after April 21 10 AM PST.

Resolves PROB to percentage of time elapsed between those endpoints that the tabulation time is.

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Why not make this a numeric market?

predictedNO

@IsaacKing That's 250 mana minimum, and I don't expect much volume on this market. And if I did expect volume, I'd probably prefer to state it as a binary market with an extra subsidy anyways.

In this case, 4 days = 25% each day which lines with 24 hours/day, so I could reasonably say "number of hours since X the market will resolve" without losing much precision; but in other markets(or if this one was "number of minutes") it's annoying having to pull out a calculator, so I usually make them binary. Sometimes I'll add a table on these with some percentage checkpoints for easy reference, if it's hard to estimate the percentage too(such as estimating a date until the end of the year, where you started at some arbitrary point along the way). Numeric doesn't get tons of traders either, though.

They should have a datetime market with a calendar widget.

@Mira Numeric markets are more expensive because they usually resolve towards the center of the range, meaning there's very little profit to be made. They need the extra liquidity in order to be worth it for a trader to profit, say, M$0.05 per each mana invested, rather than the usual M$1. You get most of the liquidity back when the market resolves as long as it's not resolving near the edge of the range, so it's not actually more expensive for the creator.

predictedYES

@IsaacKing As a market creator you get the "unused" liquidity back when resolving the market? I didn't know that.

@FlorisvanDoorn Yep. It's not made very clear in the UI unfortunately.

why does this close may 15th? Surely you can resolve it april 21st

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