If I ever get a professional IQ test, this market will resolve to the closest number in market range to that result.

I took one such test when I was 8 since it was an entrance requirement for my school, and my mother said it was "immeasurable". I don't remember the name of the test or it in detail, but I remember puzzles about completing patterns of shapes. But I also - even when I was 8 - remember not trusting such compliments because:

• The purpose of the test was for establishing a minimum threshold, so there would be no point in tracking much precision above that threshold. I did check their website just now and see "[School] is authorized to request recognized aptitude, learning, and other tests to be performed by licensed psychologists or psychiatrists for certain students, if they are deemed necessary."

• My mother likes complimenting people, and saying I have a high IQ would be a compliment, while statistical precision isn't necessary. So maybe "immeasurable" would be an impressive way to convey any disclaimers they gave her, including a confidence interval that implies a model violation of a weak test.

• If you sell products of any kind to parents, they want to think their kids are smart and you will get more repeat business from the school if you give them this.

• It's easier to get a high percentile when your denominator set is 8 year olds. So depending on how it was normalized, it could be that I was non-stupid moreso than being smart, and it would be measurable and average against the standard denominator set.

Other evidences include:

• The skill-based part of my career is as a computer programmer

• My memory span seems to be 11 items, when the average is 7 +- 2

• Was a math major in college.

• My Manifold profit graph is negative, which correlates with being a bad forecaster which might anticorrelate with being smart

• My particular Manifold profit graph correlates with impulsive overconfident risky bets, which might anticorrelate with being smart.

• Recalling "things that affect my IQ" might be upwards-biased for many reasons: Maybe people that make markets about it are self-important and look for reasons to look good, maybe people recall evidences that can be positively associated with themselves more easily than negative associations, maybe people around me learn to give upwards-biased compliments since it statistically correlates with social benefits and such things are selection-biased.

• I can install ArchLinux