Official OpenAI announcement, product managers' posts, or OpenAI executives' posts must feature the sun or sunshine relating to a new product announcement. "Product" can also be a major update to an existing product, but minor updates won't count.
I won't bet in this market, because there is some subjectivity in what counts as sunshine or "major". But I would be buying YES @ 10%.
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I managram'd everyone your cost basis back. I'm still a little bit overexcited from the last few days, and perhaps too sensitive reacting to every bit of possible predictive information I can get.
But even if I wanted to get in on the Q* joke, I didn't word the question quite right. Phrased it too precisely and missed the mark when it was announced.
I didn’t bet in this market so I don’t really care that much, but did they officially announce this? I thought it was just an internal leak or something.
"According to one of the sources, long-time executive Mira Murati told employees on Wednesday that a letter about the AI breakthrough called Q* (pronounced Q-Star), precipitated the board's actions."
We have an executive from OpenAI giving the information.
They're hyping it up like a big deal, with a board coup and everything, so it's "major".
Q* = Q🌟, the sun is a star.
I think I count this one. Q* must be the "sunshine-related announcement" that was going to be made today.
@Weezing would you have bet differently if it was worded to allow "leaks"?
also: do respect causality - I created this market because I was expecting something to drop today but didn't know the exact nature of it. I wanted to bet on it, but there's no market sufficiently precise. So from my perspective, the thing I wanted to bet on happened.
"Q*"
"Star"
The sun is a star
Do I count this? It's a leak not official....
I'll close the market in case something else drops in the next 6 hours. If not, I'll check if anybody who works at OpenAI references it.
OpenAI researchers warned board of AI breakthrough ahead of CEO ouster (cnbc.com)