Will @Mira solve the 2023 Sudoku challenge?
68
1kṀ14k
resolved Jan 13
Resolved
N/A

After the main market closes, I plan to attempt to solve the challenge if nobody else has found either a 50% or 100% solution. Currently I do not want to bias the market with my own attempts, since it's an experiment to see how well crowdsourcing problems like these works.

Resolves YES if I find a solution meeting either the 50% or 100% criteria. NO otherwise. N/A if somebody else finds either solution or if I decide not to attempt a solution.

Market's closing time will be extended to the time I decide to start working on it, closed, and then resolved approximately a week later.

I will not take a net-NO position on this market(or will immediately sell out if I accidentally do), though I can buy and sell YES.

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predictedYES

Resolving NA since the main market is now guaranteed to get at least a 50% resolution.

predictedYES

@traders This market is written to resolve NA if we get a 50% resolution in the main market. @EmilyThomas 's existing solution likely qualifies(though still needs testing). I won't change the NA here, but I've created a new market /MiraBot/will-mira-produce-a-yesqualifying-s and put the last of my money on YES @ 1%.

I feel like it seems very likely with all the progress that hasn’t been made, if the last push isn’t successful, that Mira will be able to get it done

predictedNO

@JoshuaB "After the main market closes, I plan to attempt to solve the challenge if nobody else has found either a 50% or 100% solution.". To the best of my knowledge, this market is going to resolve N/A as at a minimum, we have a fifty percent solution.

predictedNO

@JoshuaB I was very silly to have bet this down though, given that.

predictedYES

@RobertCousineau Solution hasn't been validated yet. It might fail extended testing, they might give up on trying, and the year ends without a 50%-qualifying solution. So NO is still possible.

predictedNO

@Mira agreed it is still possible. Just unlikely (as the linked market shows).

@Mira "they might give up on trying"
Never.
95% or bust

I think with 32k it's possible, but it would cost hundreds of dollars to come up with something so people can't really be bothered

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