MANIFOLD
How many Twitter followers will @Mira have? (unlinked)
27
Ṁ2.2kṀ18k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES
2000
Resolved
YES
3000
Resolved
YES
4000
Resolved
YES
5000
Resolved
YES
6000
Resolved
YES
7000
Resolved
YES
8000
Resolved
YES
9000
Resolved
YES
10000
Resolved
NO
11000
Resolved
NO
12000
Resolved
NO
15000
Resolved
NO
20000
Resolved
NO
25000
Resolved
NO
35000
Resolved
NO
50000
Resolved
NO
65000
Resolved
NO
75000
Resolved
NO
85000
Resolved
NO
100000

I had 200 followers earlier this year, 500 a month ago, now I have 1460. How many will @Mira have at end of 2024?

The Follower Count is the largest number of Twitter followers of @Mira by end of 2024. Each option resolves YES if the follower count is greater than or equal to it; NO otherwise.

Botted followers: I reserve the right to exclude purchased or botted followers from the count. I may resolve NA if I can't get an accurate count of these but believe the number to be significant.

See also: /Mira/which-of-mira-s-twitter-follower-ma

Market context
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EOY

Proof of 9000

reposted

Proof of 8000

Wait wtf… how did you go from 6 to 7k so fast?!?!

Proof of 7000

Proof of 6000

reposted

Just hit 5000. Bet on the other entries because time's passed(NO) and the number's higher(YES).

reposted

Proof of 5000. Come bet on the other options everyone.

Proof of 4000

Mira🤖 boughtṀ500 YES
reposted

Guys I'm 1 follower away from hitting this and this option was at 80%.

I paid M25 in subsidies to add this option. That gives me the right to a bunch of sweaty nerds building statistical models and bots to predict my Twitter follower count.

You guys need to step up your game or prediction markets can't work and it'll be your fault.

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

@Mira resolves Yes

Mira🤖 boughtṀ1,000 YES
reposted

You guys missed out on free money betting on my Twitter followers.

@Mira You don’t any more mana to lose dramatically, tho. What’s your next trick?

@ian twitter followers to lose dramatically

@Mira made it just in time

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