Will GPT-4.5 be released in January?
116
1.2kṀ46k
resolved Feb 4
Resolved
NO

Can be private or alpha or on a waitlist as long as some official announcement is made.

Previous GPT-4.5 speculations:

/Mira/what-modalities-will-gpt-45-have-ja

/Mira/will-gpt-45-be-able-to-read-ascii-a

/SemioticRivalry/will-gpt-45-come-out-in-december

/Mira/will-gpt-45-be-announced-by-october

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New theory: this account exists just to drive up polymarket prices

If 31 days in January and one day left, this should be between 3 and 4%. ☠

predictedNO

@FlorinSays not really. Only if it started near 100% and you thought that a) that was correctly priced and b) the model you had in mind was one of a fixed probability per day.

predictedYES

For the record, it was a dumb joke, and I couldn't help myself not to write it.

predictedYES

Not sure if futuristflower is credible at all but:

predictedYES

@12c498e This makes it more likely, actually.

predictedNO

@Joshua Yes if it were actually cancelled (since that would mean it existed in order to be cancelled.) Unfortunately, it was not actually cancelled and the tweet is meaningless.

predictedNO

This is almost as stupid as the Jimmy Carter markets.

I love you all. Limit order at 15% for a day on NO. You may want to leave further size up.

reposted

Next round of GPT-4.5 speculation.

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